Learn prediction markets from zero
Start with the mental model, then move into probability, YES / NO contracts, pricing, trading, resolution, and real market examples. No finance vocabulary exam required at the door.
New to prediction markets?
Build the mental model first. Learn what a prediction market is, how it differs from a stock, and what a binary event contract actually means before you place a trade.
Start the 3-minute primerA prediction market turns a clear future question into tradable YES / NO outcomes.
Stocks price ownership in a business. Prediction-market prices can be read as the market’s current estimate of an event probability.
A binary event contract resolves to one of two defined outcomes, usually YES or NO, according to published rules.
Learn in the order your brain wants it
Start with the question, then learn price and trading, and only then dive into resolution, market mechanics, and funding.
How Do Prediction Markets Work?
A beginner-friendly guide to how prediction markets turn beliefs about future events into market prices, probabilities, and verifiable outcomes.
Prediction Markets vs Stocks: What's the Difference?
Learn how prediction markets differ from stocks, what each market actually trades, how prices are interpreted, and why event contracts have a defined resolution point.
What Is a Binary Event Contract?
Understand binary event contracts, how YES and NO outcomes settle, why prices can resemble probabilities, and why resolution rules matter before a trade is placed.
How Do YES and NO Contracts Work?
Learn what a YES or NO position means, how contract prices relate to outcomes, how settlement works, and what to check before choosing a side.
Prediction Market Odds and Probability Explained
Understand how prediction-market prices can be read as implied probabilities, what a 63% market really means, and why probability is not the same as certainty.
How to Trade Prediction Markets
Learn the basic workflow for trading prediction markets, from reading the question and rules to choosing YES or NO, placing an order, and waiting for settlement.
How Do Prediction Market Prices Work?
Understand what YES and NO prices mean, how order books move prediction-market prices, and why market probability is an estimate rather than a guarantee.
What Is a Weather Prediction Market?
Learn how weather prediction markets turn measurable conditions such as temperature into clearly defined, data-resolved market questions.
How to Get USDT and Deposit to Predicta
A practical beginner guide to getting USDT, choosing the correct network, depositing to Predicta, understanding where the funds go, and getting help if something goes wrong.
Build a stronger research habit
Once the basics feel natural, continue into the longer Academy lessons on research, rules, information quality, and risk.
Every Market Begins With a Question.
Every day, countless important things happen across the world.
A prediction market doesn't tell you what will definitely happen.
It lets markets shape — through information and price — the most likely future.
Prediction ≠ Guessing
- On gut feel
- On luck
- No information
- Research
- Public info
- Market price
- Evidence
The right question isn't:
"Will it happen?"
It's:
"Is the market under- or over-pricing the current information?"
What Does Price Mean?
Price is the market's current collective estimate of the event's probability.
Prices adjust as new information arrives.
Reflects every participant's consensus on the future.
Every Prediction Should Rest on Research
Market Rules Matter More Than Price
Before you understand the rules, don't trade any market.
Understand the Information, Don't Chase the Price
The real thing worth researching is:
Why did the price move?
Build Your Own Research Method
Your edge comes from the fields you know — not from knowing everything.
Risk Management
Risk management matters more than chasing win rate.
Not every market is worth trading today.
Waiting is also a decision.
Predicta's Philosophy
Markets aren't here to guess the future.
They're here to help people understand it.
Welcome to Predicta.
Open Information. Fair Markets.
Open Information. Fair Markets.