Predicta
Trading Guide
Understand Predicta in 3 minutes — place your first trade
Predicta Academy
What is a Prediction Market?
Prediction markets let users trade on real-world outcomes — not stocks.
01
Market Price = Market Probability
YES price ≈ probability the event happens
YES
Buy YES
If you think the event will happen.
Example: Taipei at 5pm above 33°C
You believe it will.
NO
Buy NO
If you think the event won't happen.
You think:
Not above 33°C
YES PriceApprox. probability
0.20 USDT20%
0.50 USDT50%
0.80 USDT80%
Market price moves in real time as people trade.
02
Worked Example
MarketTaipei Hourly Temperature
Current Range33.0°C ~ 33.1°C
YES Price0.38 USDT
NO Price0.62 USDT
AssumeBuy 100 YES shares
Cost38 USDT
Official result33.0°C
Per share1 USDT
Receive100 USDT
Gross profit+62 USDT
(before fees)
03
Full Trading Flow
From picking a market to receiving payout
Full Trading Flow
1
Pick a market
2
Buy YES or NO
3
Wait for settlement
4
Official data published
5
System auto-settles
6
Payout reaches your wallet
04
Auto-Settlement with Official Data
Every market uses official data sources
Central Weather Administration (CWA)
Coinbase Spot Price API
The platform fetches official data at settlement time, rules determine YES or NO, and the entire flow is fully automated.
1
Official API
2
Fetch latest data
3
Resolve result
4
Auto-settle
5
Payout
05
Common Markets
More markets added over time
Weather
- • Hourly temperature
- • Rain
- • Weather events
Crypto
- • Bitcoin
- • Ethereum
- • Dogecoin
- • Litecoin
- • Solana
Cautions
- • Market prices keep moving.
- • Not every order fills instantly.
- • All markets settle by their official source.
- • Assess your own risk.
Quick Newcomer Tip
YES price roughly reflects how likely the market thinks the event is.
YES 20¢
≈ about 20%
YES 50¢
≈ about 50%
YES 80¢
≈ about 80%
YES 95¢
≈ near-certain
This is not a guarantee — just the current market consensus.