Predicta Legal

Risk Disclosure

Important risks relating to prediction-market trading, liquidity, settlement, electronic systems and digital-asset funding.

Status:
Policy framework
Version:
0.1
Last updated:
August 27, 2026
Effective:
Not yet in force

Market and loss risk

Prediction-market contracts are risky and may be speculative. A position can lose its full purchase value if the market resolves against it. Market prices express current trading activity and expectations; they are not guarantees, forecasts or promises of outcome probability.

Past pricing, popularity, participant activity or apparent confidence does not ensure a future result.

Liquidity and execution risk

A market may have limited buyers, sellers or available size. You may be unable to enter or exit at the price, amount or time you expect. Bid/ask spreads can widen and displayed prices may change before execution.

Market orders and other execution types can interact differently with available liquidity. Partial fills, unfilled orders and price movement are possible.

Resolution risk

Settlement depends on the exact market wording, defined source, observation method and resolution conditions. Real-world events can be postponed, cancelled, corrected, reported inconsistently or become ambiguous.

Source outages, revisions, event changes or an incorrectly configured market can require delayed settlement, cancellation or another procedure described in the Market Rules.

Electronic trading risk

Internet, browser, device, hosting, API, wallet, data-provider or platform failures can delay or prevent access, order submission, cancellation, balance display or market updates. High traffic and external outages may reduce availability.

A user should not assume an instruction was received or cancelled until the platform provides the relevant confirmation.

Blockchain and stablecoin risk

Digital-asset funding introduces blockchain congestion, address and network selection risk, transaction-finality delays, gas requirements, wallet failures and third-party infrastructure risk.

Stablecoins and supported tokens can experience depegging, issuer, custody, contract, liquidity or regulatory risk. Blockchain transactions may be irreversible.

Legal and availability risk

Prediction markets and digital-asset services may be treated differently across jurisdictions. Product availability, eligibility, market categories and funding methods may change in response to legal, regulatory or provider requirements.

Users are responsible for determining whether their use is permitted where they are located, subject to Predicta’s own eligibility controls.